Dangers in trying to time the market

cent superannuation fund members market volatility australian share market global financial crisis real estate investment financial markets

24 October 2011
| By Mike Taylor |
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Superannuation fund members have been cautioned against trying to "time the market" during the current volatility.

The warning has come from Chant West principal Warren Chant at the same time as he confirmed that the September quarter had produced the worst three-month returns since the dark days of the global financial crisis (GFC) in December 2008, following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

According to the Chant West analysis, the median growth fund fell by another 1.0 per cent in September, contributing to a loss of 5.1 per cent for the quarter.

Chant attributed the decline to continuing concerns around the European debt crisis and the manner in which this had continued to send jitters through financial markets.

He pointed out the Australian share market was down 11.6 per cent for the quarter, with international shares falling 14.9 per cent in hedged terms and around 8 per cent in unhedged terms.

Chant said that property securities had also retreated with Australian Real Estate Investment Trusts falling 8.1 per cent and global REITs down 14.5 per cent.

He said that while some people might feel tempted to switch their money into cash or some other low risk option, they needed to be mindful of not crystallising their losses and exposing themselves to the risk of missing out on any potential upswing.

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