Light at the end of the global debt tunnel: IBISWorld

global-financial-crisis/australian-share-market/chairman/

11 January 2012
| By Chris Kennedy |
image
image
expand image

Despite high levels of global debt there are signs of light at the end of the tunnel, according to the chairman of business research house IBISWorld, Phil Ruthven.

Although the world's G20 nations account for 77.5 per cent of global debt they are mostly able to service this debt with a small share of taxes at the expense of social benefits, Ruthven said. The problem is Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain, but together they account for just 7.5 per cent of world debt - not really enough to wreck global markets, he said.

But the Australian economy should perform reasonably well this year, with the mining, infrastructure (engineering and construction), health, telecommunications, finance, professional services and the new information industries providing plenty of momentum to offset the slower industries such as manufacturing, agriculture and hospitality, he said.

The Australian share market could even be poised in 2012 to take a big leap in 2013, with profits again on the rise and the price-earnings ratio coming off a subdued level in 2011. This all leaves room for a spectacular jump when confidence returns to London and New York - from where Australia takes its lead, he said.

There is still a lot of upside available, perhaps as much as a 50 per cent rise in the All Ords in the next few years, according to Ruthven.

The Australian economy would benefit from having a stable, more commercially realistic and far-sighted government and a better industrial relations scene, but these might emerge in the not too distant future, he added.

Read more about:

AUTHOR

Recommended for you

sub-bgsidebar subscription

Never miss the latest news and developments in wealth management industry

MARKET INSIGHTS

So we are now underwriting criminal scams?...

2 months ago

Glad to see the back of you Steve. You made financial more expensive, not more affordable as you claim, and presided ...

2 months ago

Completely agree Peter. The definition of 'significant change is circumstances relevant to the scope of the advice' is s...

4 months ago

Entireti has unveiled the new name for the AMP financial advice businesses that it acquired last year....

4 weeks 1 day ago

A Sydney financial adviser has been permanently banned from providing any financial services, with the regulator deriding his “lack of integrity, trustworthiness and prof...

3 weeks ago

Minister for Financial Services, Stephen Jones, has provided further information about the second tranche of the Delivering Better Financial Outcomes (DBFO) reforms....

1 week 6 days ago

TOP PERFORMING FUNDS