Five years without fiddling with superannuation?
The Federal Treasurer, Chris Bowen, made a very good point when addressing the recent Financial Services Council annual conference in Brisbane – that in 1996 the then Federal Opposition promised to retain the Keating Government’s program to lift the superannuation guarantee but, ultimately, did not deliver.
Bowen gave the reference when suggesting that, in 2013, the Coalition had similarly committed to eventually lifting the superannuation guarantee to 12 per cent but would likely, as it did in 1996, reneg.
Or, the Treasurer must just have easily been referencing his own promise that a re-elected Labor Government would not significantly alter the superannuation tax settings for a period of five years, and that any policy change would be under the guidance of a committee of specialists.
One does not have to cast their mind back to 1996 to recall Labor’s failure on a superannuation promise. In 2007 the then Opposition leader, Kevin Rudd, promised that a newly-elected Government would not fiddle with the superannuation settings – “not one tittle”.
Thereafter, Labor imposed changes to the superannuation at every subsequent Budget.
Bowen’s promise of a five-year moratorium on major super tax fiddling must therefore be seen for what it is – a promise made in the run-up to a difficult election – which makes it only barely believable.
However, to be fair to Bowen, he did admit to the Financial Services Council annual conference last week that the sheer scale of Australia’s superannuation savings – and the beneficial tax treatment those savings are granted – would make them an ongoing temptation to Treasury officials and the Governments they serve.
What is more, the Treasury acknowledged that by committing to his five-year moratorium, he was not ruling out necessary changes at the margin.
The Coalition had earlier committed to avoiding implementing any unnecessary changes to superannuation and, in doing so, acknowledged that it would be guided by Budget reality as to what was sensible and what was not. To a degree, Bowen has given himself similar wriggle room.
In fact, the approach outlined by Bowen is simply an advancement of the Council of Super Guardians approach mooted by the former Minister for Financial Services, Bill Shorten, under which a group of Government-appointed specialists would guide policy direction.
The very nature and scale of the Australian superannuation industry dictates that it needs the sort of certainty that a five-year moratorium would deliver, but promises made in the heat of an election build-up must be seen for what they really are.
The proof of the pudding will always be in the eating – and no one in the super industry should relax just yet.
Recommended for you
In this week’s episode of Relative Return Unplugged, AMP chief economist Shane Oliver joins the show to unravel the web of tariffs that US President Donald Trump launched on trading partners and take a look at the way global economies are likely to be impacted.
In this episode of Relative Return, host Laura Dew is joined by Andrew Lockhart, managing partner at Metrics Credit Partners, to discuss the attraction of real estate debt and why it can be a compelling option for portfolio diversification.
In this week’s episode of Relative Return Unplugged, AMP’s chief economist, Shane Oliver, joins us to break down Labor’s budget, focusing on its re-election strategy and cost-of-living support, and cautioning about the long-term impact of structural deficits, increased government spending, and potential risks to productivity growth.
In this episode of Relative Return, host Laura Dew chats with Mark Barnes, head of investment research, and Catherine Yoshimoto, director of product management, from FTSE Russell about markets in Donald Trump's second presidency and how US small caps are faring compared to their large-caps counterpart.
